Watson – Techso Mogro https://techsomogro.com/ Science, Technology and the Future Wed, 12 Feb 2014 16:41:17 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.8.1 Headlines: IBM’s “Project Lucy” Focuses Watson on Africa’s Challenges https://techsomogro.com/headlines-ibms-project-lucy-focuses-watson-africas-challenges/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=headlines-ibms-project-lucy-focuses-watson-africas-challenges https://techsomogro.com/headlines-ibms-project-lucy-focuses-watson-africas-challenges/#comments Wed, 12 Feb 2014 16:41:17 +0000 http://www.21stcentech.com/?p=13101 February 12, 2014 – Named after the fossil human ancestor Lucy discovered in Ethiopia a few decades ago, IBM is taking on Africa’s greatest challenges using Watson, the computer the company created to beat all challengers at the game, Jeopardy.

Watson’s artificial intelligence gives it the skill to discern patterns in complex data. Applying this ability to the many challenges Africa is experiencing from freshwater shortages to mass rural to urban migration will prove a useful tool for cross country planning initiatives.

 

IBM will partner with the pan-African Center of Excellence for Data-Driven Development that includes universities, development agencies, NGOs and business start-right across the continent.

Here are some interesting facts that Africa will have to deal with in the coming decades:

 

Project Lucy Africa

  • Africa’s population is expected to increase by 1.8 billion to 2.4 billion in the next 50 years with 25% of the world’s population residing on the continent. In this projection 37 countries will double their population by 2050.
  • Africa has the highest urban growth rate in the world with Lagos, Nigeria becoming the world’s third most populous within the decade exceeding 25 million.
  • In 2050, 50% of Africa’s population will be under the age of 24, and by 2100 almost half of the world’s youth population will come from this continent. Of these 1/3 in sub-Saharan Africa lack basic skills to meet the 21st century labour market even though they will represent a larger workforce than all of China.
  • To date Africa has developed only 5% of its hydroelectric capacity. This untapped resource could provide electricity to almost all of the continent where today only 25% of sub-Saharan citizens have access to power.
  • At the same time Africa is increasingly facing freshwater shortages and must address this challenge with a multitude of potential solutions from new irrigation technologies to the introduction of drought-tolerant cultivables.
  • Today Africa has the lowest yield rate of any continent in producing food crops despite containing 60% of the remaining uncultivated arable land on the planet. The opportunity to become self-sustaining in food production is there.
  • Africa has the fastest growing mobile telecommunications buildout on the planet. In Kenya alone almost 1/3 of the commerce in the country gets transferred through mobile payment systems. This illustrates how Africa is capable of leapfrogging legacy technology infrastructure to achieve 21st century outcomes.

 

IBM will invest $100 million U.S. over a decade to help Africans find solutions using the Watson cognitive computing platform. This is technology that has the ability to sift through large amounts of data and find emerging patterns and correlations. With Watson seeking answers to Africa’s challenges the continent could find itself emerging as a strong economic player in the global community rather than the “sick man” of the planet.

So what started as a project to build a computer to beat the best human contestants in a television game show is turning into a world beater of a technology.

 

 

Watson-Africa_Info020514

 

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Biomedicine Update: The Future of Medicine is the iDoctor https://techsomogro.com/biomedicine-update-future-medicine-idoctors/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=biomedicine-update-future-medicine-idoctors https://techsomogro.com/biomedicine-update-future-medicine-idoctors/#respond Sun, 30 Dec 2012 16:54:36 +0000 http://www.21stcentech.com/?p=8152 If some pundits are right, 80% of doctors will find themselves replaced by machines in the 21st century. What kind of machines? Well more a combination of hardware and a big dollop of software to create iDoctors, computers backed by Internet-based datasets with artificial intelligence front ends and powerful analytical capability. Like Watson, the machine that whipped two human trivia champions on Jeopardy, these iDoctors would feature computers as far removed from the laptop, tablet or desktop system you are using to read this blog. They will be minimally multiple-arrayed parallel processors, and later on neuromorphic computer systems.  They will be able to assess a patient through observation and questioning. They will then suggest suitable tests, evaluate the results, make a diagnosis and come up with recommended treatment. They will be able to do this with minimal medical supervision and only if surgery or complex treatment is prescribed will require human second opinions.

Watson MD

Back in the 1970s, James Martin, the futurist and telecommunications guru, described in his book, The Wired Society, a scenario in which a patient would be pre-screened before being seen by a doctor. The pre-screening involved the patient answering a series of questions that appeared on a computer screen and based on the answer the computer would then choose the next question to ask. The program resembled a large decision tree with branches going off in all directions based on how each patient responded. In the end the computer could narrow down the investigation and advise medical staff in a report. This concept preceded the existence of the Internet and the availability of massive amounts of information from which a human or computer intelligence could draw.

Today anyone with access to the Internet can visit medical websites like WebMD, or NetDoctor and look up symptoms to try and do self-diagnosis. These sites and the online encyclopedia Wikipedia, are filled with information. What they lack is a screening mechanism in the form of an intelligent front end that can interact with the information seeker based on an understanding of symptoms and implications. Back when James Martin was writing, medical artificial intelligence was in its infancy. The systems used symbolic models of disease and related them to what the patient was describing. Today’s artificial intelligence systems, however, employ neural network architecture and can draw on vast data resources in offering an opinion on a diagnosis.

Artificial intelligence employs decision trees similar to the one depicted above to come up with diagnoses. Based on a patient's responses the program chooses different paths in its question and answer process.
Artificial intelligence employs decision trees similar to the one depicted above to come up with diagnoses. Based on a patient’s responses the program chooses different paths in its question and answer process.

Combined with widespread use of electronic medical records and surgical medical robotics, the age of the machine and the iDoctor is near at hand. Will patients be better off getting diagnosed by a machine rather than a human MD? An artificial intelligence-based medical system will be cheaper than one that is human-based. It will be more individually focused having access to a patient’s DNA profile and medical history. This will take subjective human opinion out of the mix. It will be able to interact, read and even adjust any broadcast capable medical devices used by a patient, whether a smartphone ECG reader that the patient uses regularly, or blood sugar home testing equipment, or even internal devices like pacemakers or medical nanobots. As a result the iDoctor will likely be faster and more accurate in diagnosis than 80% of existing MDs today.

Hence my opening comment. Want to try a taste of the future? Check out Androctor Anna.

Androctor

 

 

 

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