The Bloomberg report notes that global spending for disaster recovery amounted to $18.5 trillion since 2000. The data also included the $1.1 trillion the U.S. expended, equal to 46.7% of the $6.7 trillion in total spent by 50 countries for fire, flood and storm costs. Interestingly, that $1.1 trillion is equal to the amount the Trump administration wants to claw back in federal funding relief to local programs and projects aimed at climate change and disaster recovery.
The second report that I have been reading comes from Canada’s Royal Bank of Canada (RBC). RBC’s “Double or Trouble” report states that Canadians need to double down to hit the country’s climate goals. The numbers cited in the report are different from those cited by Bloomberg.
RBC states that extreme weather and natural disasters in 2024 cost $368 billion, or 14% above global average annual expenditures since 2000. It states that the number is expected to climb as more global warming kicks in and notes a growing number of conversations in boardrooms and during earnings calls that are talking about extreme weather impacts and physical climate change risk.
Bloomberg provides a Climate Damages Tracker that shows the total cost for insured ($1.51 trillion) and uninsured ($1.39 trillion) losses from climate disasters in the U.S. to be $2.9 trillion (43%) of the $6.7 trillion total globally. The balance of the remaining losses comes from Asia, $2.13 trillion, then Europe, the Middle East and Africa.
Bloomberg reports that total global government climate-related spending, including disaster planning and prevention, environmental protection, agricultural insurance and recovery assistance, has reached $4.9 trillion in this century, with China spending $2.1 trillion, followed by the U.S. at $1.38 trillion and India at $480 billion.
Both reports cite one of the biggest drivers of escalating climate disaster recovery costs coming from the rise in insurance premiums, 22% in 2023 for fire, flood and storm policies. With rising payouts, insurers are issuing more catastrophe bonds to offset risk, as well as issuing sustainability-linked coverage to companies that demonstrate climate resilience. RBC states that the market for catastrophe bonds has been growing 7% annually since 2015 and will exceed $50 billion in 2025.
The Bloomberg report includes information from 494 companies responsible for 55% of global operational greenhouse gas emissions. Only a third of these companies are currently on track to meet the lower CO2 emission targets that would keep warming to 1.5 Celsius (2.7 Fahrenheit). Instead, global emissions keep rising.
The 1.5 Celsius (2.7 Fahrenheit) established lower threshold set in Paris is pretty much being breached now. Meanwhile, the forecast is to see temperatures rise between 2.7 and 3.1 Celsius (4.8 and 5.6 Fahrenheit) by 2100 unless governments and businesses change course.
With only 163 of the 494 companies Bloomberg tracks on target to meet CO2 reductions of 33% by 2030, an International Energy Agency (IEA) recommendation, one can expect climate-related disaster recovery costs to keep rising.
Derisking climate change policies and programs is beginning to sound like a broken record. What’s needed is not necessarily what governments and businesses are prepared to do short of receiving marching orders.
What should these orders be?