Keep in mind that the best wind turbines are a good idea only in the few areas that have favorable wind conditions. The areas with most favorable wind conditions tend to be remote from markets for the power. A couple of years back, T. Boone Pickins, the multi-billionaire Texas oil tycoon, went crazy on wind power and invested heavily in windy sites in the Texas Panhandle, and then figured out he would be able to produce a lot of power at competitive rates, but he would net lose money if he had to build the transmission system to move the power to major markets. So he invited the State and public utility companies to pay for the transmission system. The state and utility companies wisely said, “No thanks, we will build steam plants closer to markets. We will comply with federal renewable source mandates by locating wind farms only where the markets are not too distant, or where the transmission system already exists. The whole Texas Panhandle program turned into a huge boondoggle that cost T. Boone about a billion,
I’m about 99.9% sure nothing will ever significantly improve over the cost/performance of the present generation of large wind turbines, which for the most part are not cost competitive with steam power (It’s mostly a matter of average wind speed and nearby markets to take the intermittent power. The Danish/Norwegian pumped storage scheme is near ideal, but rare.). It’s hard to know whose cost figures to trust, but I have a reasonably credible MIT Grad acquaintance that is an active principal in the big West Texas wind farms. He grudgingly confesses his company is presently producing wind power electricity at true costs of about $0.08 kWh. Steam plants routinely generate power for less than half that.
To be fair, one should again notice that wind speed is a major factor, and that wind speed is a function of height. Ian’s scheme seems in essence to be a giant kite that uses some unique and imprecisely defined flex capacitor system for generating the power. In principle the “power kite” might be deployed in high winds at thousands of feet altitude, which might compensate for other inefficiencies in the system. Just looks like it would take a lot of money to construct and test a working prototype to prove it’s not such a good idea.
]]>As always,insightful comments. What is your initial impression of what Ian Pearson has proposed?
]]>I’m not a general supporter of wind power, I don’t like the aesthetic appearance, the noise is a nuisance, and in locations where average wind speeds are below 18 miles per hour, overall costs of power production are higher than steam plants. I doubt the cost and service factor figures I’ve seen on the large off-shore wind farms in Denmark, but if they are valid, the proposition of pumped power storage in Norway’s several hydropower reservoirs makes economic sense. Norway needs the power and there is no practical way to expand the reservoirs. The hydropower plant capacities cannot be realized with available natural watershed flow rates. So if Danish wind turbines can keep Norway’s hydropower reservoirs full, it’s a win for both the Danes and the Norwegians.
Promoters and producers of wind power seem rarely objectively honest in their disclosures about cost/performance. A large wind turbine might claim a nameplate capacity of 3-MW, but when you check the fine print you learn the 3-MW is produced at a wind speed of 28 mph. But the turbine will likely be installed at a location where average wind speed is 15-17 mph. So in the most probable actual application the turbine would produce only 22% of nameplate rating, 0.67-MW. There is a huge difference in the economics of a power plant that costs $1,000 kW and one that costs $4,500 kW. One might as well consult an aluminum siding salesman as to likely service factor.
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